India has been blocking the spread of coronavirus for two months. On March 25, the first day of the lockdown, 618 confirmed incidents and 13 deaths were confirmed in India.
As India now reduces lockdowns, there have been more than 151,000 cases and more than 4,300 deaths. The death toll is much lower than in the United States and various European countries, where the population is much smaller.
These cases increased from 100 to 100,000 in 25 days in the United States and in 42 days in the United Kingdom.
In India, which had the longest and most severe lockdown, it took 64 days for cases to increase from 100,000 to 100,000.
This may suggest the success of the Indian government's strategy, but similar predictions about the spread of the virus and near-death rates in Bangladesh and Pakistan suggest that other factors have also played a role.
Of the 30 countries that have registered more than 25,000 cases of coronavirus, India, Pakistan, and Bangladesh are among the countries with the lowest levels of testing. Only the result of a lack of testing.
But low mortality rates in South Asia are known to be true as there is no evidence of large-scale low mortality rates in India, Pakistan, and Bangladesh. Population ratio seems to be a major factor explaining the low mortality rate in South Asia.
The median age is 29 in India, 23 in Pakistan, and 27 in Bangladesh, while the average age is 38 in the United States, 40.5 in the United Kingdom, and 45 in Italy.
Statistics from New York City show that 73% of all deaths from the coronavirus have occurred in patients aged 65 or over. Only 5% of the population is Indian, compared to 16% of the US population.
Hospitalization and mortality rates have been lower than in Europe and the United States. In the UK and Italy, coronavirus deaths have been 14.4% and 14%, respectively, compared to 3.3% in India and 2.2% in Pakistan, where the average age is 22.8 years.
Now the most important question is whether the government has made proper use of the long lockdown time to prepare for the problems to come. The number of cases is increasing rapidly and the lockdown is expected to be lifted in view of the growing pressure on the economy.
India's health minister claims that there are 31,250 intensive care unit beds in India, up from 9,500 at the start of the lockdown. The Ministry of Health had earlier said that 4.8% of patients in Code-19 needed an intensive care unit bed.
This suggests that in the case of coronavirus, India will have to increase five-fold to get out of bed so that the necessary care is required. But aggregate statistics do not take into account the fact that infections do not spread evenly across the country.
Five cities Mumbai, Delhi, Ahmedabad, Chennai, and Pune have reported an astonishing 60 percent coronavirus case in India.
Mumbai and Pune, India's commercial capitals, are already out of hospital beds for critically ill patients. Mumbai has been the hardest hit, accounting for more than 20 percent of all cases, and the increase in cases is boosting the city's ability to grow its health infrastructure.
The situation is just as dire in Mr. Modi's home state, the western state of Gujarat. By mid-May, public hospitals were fully operational, and some privately run hospitals were trying to exploit epidemics by charging exorbitant fees to patients.
The Gujarat High Court intervened and remarked that "a common man can never afford to get proper treatment from a private hospital" after paying a fee.
The High Court pointed out that the most obvious problem with Mr Modi's poorly planned lockout was the hunger crisis that had erupted among India's migrant workers and the poor. 'They are not afraid of being infected, they are more scared of dying from hunger.' the court said.
The biggest failure of Mr. Modi's Corona virus strategy was imposed on workers in India's informal sector, mostly from rural areas, who work in Indian cities without a safety net. There is destruction and suffering.
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| Millions of migrants workers returning back to their native cities due to lockdown closing all businesses and industry. (Photo Source: REUTERS/Adnan Abidi) |
Millions of migrant workers were left without pay after factories and businesses were closed after four hours of lockdown.
They could not pay the rent. They did not have enough to eat. They looked to their village, where they would find accommodation and food, relying on an extended family.
As public transport was suspended, workers set off on foot, and temperatures rose to 100 degrees Fahrenheit hundreds of miles away. In May alone, more than 150 migrant workers were returning home after being killed in road or train accidents.
As the lockdown is being partially eased, migrant workers are now traveling as they could only two months ago when the number of cases in India was less than a thousand. As some workers are serving as undesirable carriers of the virus in more or fewer areas, they have been greeted with alarm bells and grips in their villages.
The demographic process offered the Indian government room to breathe, but India faces two challenges at the same time. A medical infrastructure that is already under pressure in places where matters are escalating to alarming levels and the population has grown to the point of economic hardship, which many face. Risk of malnutrition and hunger.
Mr. Modi has a long history and a history of announcing large-scale initiatives with little administrative preparation or follow-up. He and his government must move beyond focusing on managing public opinion.
Lockdown is easily seen by the middle and upper class, who can afford to do so. But cases of the coronavirus are spreading rapidly among densely populated urban groups, who cannot afford the comfort of social distance. It is poor in India who will be most affected by the growing number of infections and economic hardships.
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